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Atlantic Council 2025 Global Energy Forum
Subject:Oil & gas markets in the era of energy dominance
Presented by:Stephen Nalley
Presented to: Atlantic Council
Washington, DC—June 18, 2025

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January 14, 2026 Today in Energy ›

We expect Henry Hub natural gas spot prices to fall slightly in 2026 before rising in 2027 ›

We expect the U.S. benchmark natural gas spot price at the Henry Hub to decrease about 2% to just under $3.50 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) in 2026 before rising sharply in 2027 to just under $4.60/MMBtu, according to our January Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). We expect the annual average Henry Hub price in 2026 to decrease slightly as annual supply growth keeps pace with demand growth over the year. However, in 2027, we forecast demand growth will rise faster than supply growth, driven mainly by more feed gas demand from U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) export facilities, reducing the natural gas in storage. We forecast annual average spot prices will decrease by 2% in 2026 and then increase by 33% in 2027. More

annual average Henry Hub natural gas spot price

Data source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), January 2026


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